Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003914 0.004115 0.004321 0.004548 0.004792 0.005046 0.005332
2025-08-03 0.003543 0.003837 0.004152 0.004515 0.004923 0.005369 0.005896
2025-08-10 0.003304 0.003649 0.004029 0.004480 0.005002 0.005594 0.006319
2025-08-17 0.003187 0.003578 0.004019 0.004554 0.005192 0.005936 0.006879
2025-08-24 0.003043 0.003462 0.003941 0.004537 0.005264 0.006132 0.007264
2025-08-31 0.002912 0.003351 0.003861 0.004506 0.005309 0.006290 0.007601
2025-09-07 0.002784 0.003234 0.003766 0.004448 0.005312 0.006389 0.007862
2025-09-14 0.002667 0.003126 0.003673 0.004386 0.005303 0.006468 0.008095
2025-09-21 0.002594 0.003067 0.003638 0.004392 0.005379 0.006654 0.008476
2025-09-28 0.002463 0.002929 0.003499 0.004258 0.005263 0.006581 0.008495
2025-10-05 0.002400 0.002876 0.003463 0.004254 0.005318 0.006735 0.008835
2025-10-12 0.002374 0.002867 0.003482 0.004322 0.005469 0.007025 0.009383
2025-10-19 0.002303 0.002798 0.003422 0.004284 0.005476 0.007117 0.009650
2025-10-26 0.002240 0.002738 0.003372 0.004256 0.005494 0.007224 0.009946
2025-11-02 0.002179 0.002679 0.003320 0.004223 0.005503 0.007317 0.010222
2025-11-09 0.002161 0.002676 0.003342 0.004291 0.005657 0.007628 0.010854
2025-11-16 0.002113 0.002630 0.003305 0.004276 0.005689 0.007757 0.011204
2025-11-23 0.002062 0.002580 0.003260 0.004248 0.005699 0.007852 0.011503
2025-11-30 0.002006 0.002520 0.003199 0.004194 0.005669 0.007883 0.011695
2025-12-07 0.001950 0.002460 0.003138 0.004137 0.005632 0.007900 0.011862
2025-12-14 0.001920 0.002433 0.003120 0.004142 0.005689 0.008067 0.012295
2025-12-21 0.001846 0.002345 0.003016 0.004018 0.005543 0.007903 0.012139
2025-12-28 0.001816 0.002317 0.002995 0.004015 0.005583 0.008041 0.012526